Risk Assessment Framework

Liquidity Pool Analysis

Core Metrics

Liquidity Depth Assessment

  • Total Value Locked (TVL) analysis

  • Liquidity distribution across DEXs

  • Pool concentration risk evaluation

  • Impermanent loss potential calculation

Liquidity Lock Analysis

// Example liquidity lock evaluation
const liquidityRisk = {
  lockDuration: "6 months", // Duration of liquidity lock
  lockPercentage: 85, // Percentage of liquidity locked
  lockContract: "verified", // Lock contract verification status
  emergencyUnlock: false, // Emergency unlock functions present
  riskScore: calculateLiquidityRisk(lockDuration, lockPercentage)
}

Key Indicators:

  • Lock Duration: Longer locks indicate higher commitment

  • Lock Percentage: Higher percentages reduce rug pull risk

  • Lock Mechanism: Team-controlled vs. third-party locks

  • Unlock Schedule: Gradual vs. cliff unlocking patterns

Analysis Framework

Low Risk Indicators:

  • 80%+ liquidity locked for 6+ months

  • Multiple DEX liquidity distribution

  • Third-party lock mechanisms

  • No emergency unlock functions

High Risk Indicators:

  • <50% liquidity locked

  • Single DEX concentration

  • Team-controlled locks

  • Short lock durations (<30 days)

Ownership Structure Evaluation

Token Distribution Analysis

Ownership Concentration Metrics

  • Top 10 holder concentration

  • Developer wallet allocations

  • Exchange wallet identification

  • Burn address verification

Distribution Health Score

def calculate_distribution_score(top_holders):
    # Gini coefficient for ownership distribution
    concentration_penalty = calculate_gini(top_holders)
    dev_allocation = get_dev_wallet_percentage()
    burn_percentage = get_burn_percentage()
    
    score = 100 - (concentration_penalty * 50) - (dev_allocation * 30) + (burn_percentage * 10)
    return max(0, min(100, score))

Risk Categories

Centralization Risks:

  • Single entity holding >50% of supply

  • Development team controlling >20%

  • Lack of token burning mechanisms

  • Concentrated voting power

Decentralization Indicators:

  • Wide holder distribution

  • Significant burned supply

  • Community-controlled governance

  • Transparent allocation schedules

Developer Activity Monitoring

Activity Metrics

Code Development Tracking

  • GitHub commit frequency

  • Repository update patterns

  • Code quality improvements

  • Bug fix responsiveness

Communication Assessment

  • Social media activity levels

  • Community engagement frequency

  • Transparency in communications

  • Response to community concerns

Evaluation Framework

Positive Indicators:

  • Regular code updates (weekly+)

  • Active community engagement

  • Transparent roadmap execution

  • Responsive support channels

Warning Signs:

  • Decreasing commit activity

  • Reduced communication frequency

  • Missed milestone deliveries

  • Unresponsive to critical issues

Code Quality Assessment

Static Analysis Metrics

Security Vulnerabilities

  • Known vulnerability patterns

  • Access control implementations

  • Input validation mechanisms

  • External call safety measures

Code Complexity Analysis

// Example: Analyzing function complexity
contract SecurityAnalysis {
    function analyzeComplexity(address contractAddr) public view returns (uint256) {
        // Cyclomatic complexity calculation
        // Function count and interaction patterns
        // Dependency depth analysis
        return complexityScore;
    }
}

Quality Indicators

High Quality Markers:

  • Comprehensive test coverage (>90%)

  • Well-documented code

  • Standard security patterns

  • Professional development practices

Quality Concerns:

  • Minimal or no testing

  • Undocumented functions

  • Non-standard implementations

  • Copy-paste code patterns

Market Manipulation Detection

Detection Algorithms

Pump and Dump Patterns

  • Unusual volume spikes

  • Coordinated trading patterns

  • Social media manipulation signals

  • Price action anomalies

Wash Trading Detection

// Wash trading detection algorithm
function detectWashTrading(transactions) {
    const patterns = analyzeTransactionPatterns(transactions);
    const volumeAnomalies = detectVolumeAnomalies(patterns);
    const addressClusters = identifyRelatedAddresses(patterns);
    
    return {
        suspiciousVolume: volumeAnomalies.percentage,
        relatedAddresses: addressClusters.length,
        manipulationScore: calculateManipulationRisk(patterns)
    };
}

Red Flag Indicators

Market Manipulation Signs:

  • Sudden volume increases (>500% above average)

  • Coordinated buy/sell patterns

  • Bot-like trading behavior

  • Artificial price supports

Organic Growth Indicators:

  • Gradual volume increases

  • Diverse trader participation

  • Natural price discovery

  • Sustained community interest

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